Four Pillars Finance

Chinese astrology cycles for market timing

Posts Tagged ‘gold’

June 2013 Newsletter

Posted by Danny on June 12, 2013

Four Pillars Finance newsletter for June 2013

Can also be downloaded at this link: http://fourpillars.net/finance/pdf/FPFjun2013.pdf

Your comments are welcome as always.

Danny

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Forecasts for 2013

Posted by Danny on January 29, 2013

Our new year forecasts for 2013 are now available.
We have once again 64 pages of information and charts we hope you find useful.

You can download and save it for printing at this link: http://www.fourpillars.net/finance/pdf/year2013.pdf

Or just read it right here:

As always, your comments and questions are welcome.

Good luck,

Danny

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2010 outlook for gold and other markets

Posted by Danny on January 15, 2010

In part 2 of our prognosis for 2010 we look at gold stocks and other.

For gold stocks (XAU index) our cycles point to another flat to down year. We look for a peak around June, with bottoms around March and in September-October.

Euro – US$: Look for a stronger US dollar in the first half of the year, next an appreciating Euro after July.

Oil prices: Chinese cycles indicate rising oil prices for this year and also next. So we want to keep a good portion of investments in oil and related stocks.

Other commodities: Cycles for most other commodities like grains and metals point to downward pressure on prices this year.

Bonds and interest rates: Look for some recovery in bond prices , then another decline in the second half of the year. Interest rates should end the year flat to higher.

Bottom line: keep a good portion in energy related investments, and keep enough cash to take advantage of great buying opportunities we are likely to see within the next two years.

***

The first two years of a new decade (which are always Metal years) typically generate some great buying opportunities that last for the entire decade. Computers and internet dominated the 90s, and during the last decade metals and commodities have done extremely well.

For this decade I expect the best performance to come from certain new technologies again. Main candidates: biotech, nanotech, robotics, and space travel and exploration. So that’s what I want to buy when the market falls in a pessimistic mood this year or next.

Will gradually become defunct in the longer term, so better avoid:  newspapers, banks, insurance, manufacturing sector, large “dinosaur” companies.

Cheers,  Danny

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